Cilt 19, Sayı 1, Sayfalar 66 - 71 2016-05-24

Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach

Süleyman KARAMAN [1] , Gökhan TEZEL [2]

243 216

ABSTRACT: This study estimates Turkey’s import demand model for lint cotton between 1966-2009, utilizing the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) demonstrates that there is a long-term relationship between the variables. While the import demand for lint cotton is escalated by income and liberalization policies in the long-run, it is estimated that relative prices and production/consumption coverage ratio will decrease. With the lifting of quotas in 2005, Turkey’s textile and apparel sector gained competitive advantage over the competitors in other countries and increased its profitability. Thus, the increase in imports continues as the domestic cotton production fails to meet the demand of the textile sector.
Key Words: Lint cotton, liberalization, cointegration, bounds test

Türkiye Lif Pamuk İthalat Talebi Esnekliği Tahmini: Otoregressif Gecikme Dağılımlı Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı

ÖZET: Bu çalışma, Türkiye lif pamuk ithalat talebi modelini 1966-2009 dönemi için eştümleşimde sınır testi yaklaşımını kullanarak tahmin eder. Otoregressif gecikme dağılımlı model değişkenler arasında uzun dönem ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. Lif pamuk ithalat talebini, uzun dönemde, gelir ve liberalleşme politikaları arttırırken nispi fiyat ve üretimin tüketimi karşılama oranın azaltacağı tahmin edilmiştir. Türkiye tekstil ve konfeksiyon sektörü 2005 yılında kotaların kaldırılmasıyla birlikte diğer ülkelere göre rekabet üstünlüğü sağlayarak karlılığını arttırmıştır. Bu yüzden, yurtiçi pamuk üretimi tekstil sektörünün talebini karşılamadığından ithalat artışı sürmektedir.
Anahtar Kelimeler: Lif pamuk, liberalleşme, eş tümleşim, sınır testi

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Birincil Dil en
Konular
Dergi Bölümü TARIM EKONOMİSİ (Agricultural Economics)
Yazarlar

Yazar: Süleyman KARAMAN
E-posta: karamansuleyman23@gmail.com

Yazar: Gökhan TEZEL
E-posta: gokhantezel@yahoo.com

Bibtex @ { ksudobil243897, journal = {Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Doğa Bilimleri Dergisi}, issn = {}, address = {Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi}, year = {2016}, volume = {19}, pages = {66 - 71}, doi = {10.18016/ksujns.15759}, title = {Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach}, language = {en}, key = {cite}, author = {KARAMAN, Süleyman and TEZEL, Gökhan} }
APA KARAMAN, S , TEZEL, G . (2016). Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach. Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Doğa Bilimleri Dergisi, 19 (1), 66-71. Retrieved from http://dogadergi.ksu.edu.tr/issue/22848/243897
MLA KARAMAN, S , TEZEL, G . "Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach". Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Doğa Bilimleri Dergisi 19 (2016): 66-71 <http://dogadergi.ksu.edu.tr/issue/22848/243897>
Chicago KARAMAN, S , TEZEL, G . "Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach". Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Doğa Bilimleri Dergisi 19 (2016): 66-71
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach AU - Süleyman KARAMAN , Gökhan TEZEL Y1 - 2016 PY - 2016 N1 - DO - T2 - Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Doğa Bilimleri Dergisi JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 66 EP - 71 VL - 19 IS - 1 SN - -1309-1743 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2017 ER -
EndNote %0 Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Doğa Bilimleri Dergisi Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach %A Süleyman KARAMAN , Gökhan TEZEL %T Estimation of Turkey’s Import Demand Elasticity for Lint Cotton: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach %D 2016 %J Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Doğa Bilimleri Dergisi %P -1309-1743 %V 19 %N 1 %R %U