İnceleme Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

İKLİM DEĞİŞİKLİĞİNİN ARDAHAN İLİNDE SÜT VE BAL ÜRETİMİ ÜZERİNE ETKİLERİ

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 36 Sayı: 3, 1230 - 1239, 30.09.2022

Özlem Eştürk

https://doi.org/10.48070/erciyesakademi.1137902

Öz

Küresel iklimde meydana gelen değişiklikler küresel gıda arzı istikrarını tehdit eden unsurlar arasında yer almaktadır. Tarım sektörünün önemli bileşenlerinden olan yağış ve sıcaklık üretimi doğrudan etkilerken, yaşanan sıcaklık artışları, kuraklık ve ani hava olaylarına bağlı gerçekleşen doğal afetler tarım sektörüne yönelik kaygıları artırmaktadır. İklim, tarımsal üretimin ve verimliliğin sağlanmasında en belirleyici faktörlerden biridir. İklim değişikliğinden kaynaklı tarımsal üretim üzerindeki olumsuzlukları önlemek ve tarımsal üretimin iklim değişikliğine adaptasyonunun artırılması, sürdürülebilir gıda güvencesinin sağlanması hükümetlerin öncelikleri arasında yer almalıdır. Bu çalışmada, 1995-2020 zaman periyodunda, Ardahan ilinde küresel iklim değişiminin tarım sektörü üzerine etkilerinin ortaya konulması amaçlanmıştır. Bu amaçla Ardahan ekonomisi için önemli olan süt ve bal üretimleri ile ortalama sıcaklık ve toplam yağış miktarı arasındaki ilişki doğrusal regresyon analizi ile incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre yıllık toplam yağış süt ve bal üretimini azaltırken, ortalama sıcaklıların süt ve bal üretimi üzerinde anlamlı bir etkisi görülmemiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

İklim değişikliği İklim değişikliği Tarımsal üretim Süt Bal

Kaynakça

  • Abou-Shaara, H. (2016). Expectations about the potential impacts of climate change on honey bee colonies in Egypt. Journal of Apiculture, 31(2), 157-164. https://doi.org/10.17519/apiculture.2016.06.31.2.157
  • Asseng, S., Ewert, F., & Zhu, Y. (2015). Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 143-147. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2470
  • Bruinsma, J. (2017). World agriculture: towards 2015/2030: an FAO perspective. Earthscan Publications Ltd.
  • Chakraborty, S., Tiedemann, A. V., & Teng, P. S. (2000). Climate change: potential impact on plant diseases. Environmental Pollution, 108(3), 317-326. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0269- 7491(99)00210-9.
  • Christiaensen, L. J., Demery, L. & Khl, J. (2006). The role of agriculture in poverty reduction: An empirical perspective. World Bank Publications Working Paper 4013.
  • Ciscar, J.-C., Iglesias, A., Perry, M., & van Regemorter, D. (2012). Agriculture, climate change and the global economy. Working Paper Version15. Institute For Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS),Edificio Expo, Spain.
  • Clark, A. J., Nottage, R. A. C., & Cowie, B. (2012). Impacts of climate change on land-based sectors and adaptation options. Clark, A.J.; Nottage, R.A.C. (eds). Technical Report to the Sustainable Land Management and Climate Change Adaptation Technical Working Group, Ministry for Primary Industries, 408 p.
  • Cline, W. R. (2007). Global warming and agriculture: Impact estimates by country. Center For Global Development And Peterson Institute For International Economics. Washington, DC.
  • Dellal, İ., McCarl, B. A., & Butt, T. (2011). The economic assessment of climate change on Turkish agriculture. Journal of Environmental Protection and Ecology, 12(1), 376-385.
  • Duru, S. & Parlakay, O. (2021). Türkiye’de iklim değişikliğinin bal verimine etkisi: ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı. Mustafa Kemal Üniversitesi Tarım Bilimleri Dergisi, 26(3), 791-800. https://doi.org/10.37908/mkutbd.1000097
  • Fischer, G. & van Velthuizen, H. T. (1996). Climate change and global agricultural potential project: A case study of Kenya. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 96.
  • Fodor, N., Foskolos, A., & Foyer, C. H. (2018). Spatially explicit estimation of heat stress-related impacts of climate change on the milk production of dairy cows in the United Kingdom. PLOS ONE, 13(5), e0197076. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0197076
  • Godfray, H. C., Beddington, J. R., & Toulmin, C. (2010). Food security: the challenge of feeding 9 billion people. Science, 327(5967), 812-818. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1185383
  • Jones, P. G., & Thornton, P. K. (2003). The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055. Global Environmental Change, 13(1), 51-59. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00090-0
  • Kanber, R., Kapur, B., & Koç, D. L. (2007). İklim değişiminin tarımsal üretim sistemleri üzerine etkisinin değerlendirilmesine yönelik yeni bir yaklaşım: ICCAP projesi. TMMOB 2. Su Politikaları Kongresi, (ss. 83-94). İstanbul.
  • Kapluhan, E. (2013). Türkiye’de kuraklik ve kurakliğin tarima etkisi. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi, (27), 487-510.
  • Klinedinst, P. L., Wilhite, D. A., Hahn, G. L., & Hubbard, K. G. (1993). The potential effects of climate change on summer season dairy cattle milk production and reproduction. Climatic Change, 23(1), 21-36. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01092679
  • Kumar, P. S. (2012). Impact of climate change and adaptation measures in dairy sector of Sikkim. İçinde M. L. Arrawatia & S. Tambe (Eds.), Climate change in sikkim patterns, impacts and initiatives (pp. 219-232). Information and Public Relations Department, Gangtok.
  • Mader, T. L., Frank, K. L., & Nienaber, J. A. (2009). Potential climate change effects on warm-season livestock production in the Great Plains. Climatic Change, 97(3), 529-541. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9615-1
  • Mauger, G., Bauman, Y., Nennich, T., & Salathé, E. (2015). Impacts of climate change on milk production in the United States. The Professional Geographer, 67(1), 121-131. https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2014.921017
  • Ninan, K. N., & Satyasiba, B. (2012). Climate change, agriculture, poverty and livelihoods: a status report. https://ideas.repec.org/p/sch/wpaper/277.html
  • Nyunza, G. (2018). Anthropogenic and climatic factors affecting honey production: The case of selected villages in Manyoni District, Tanzania. Journal of Agricultural Biotechnology and Sustainable Development, 10, 45-57. https://doi.org/10.5897/JABSD2017.0292
  • Ochieng, J., Kirimi, L., & Mathenge, M. (2016). Effects of climate variability and change on agricultural production: The case of small scale farmers in Kenya. NJAS-Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences, 77, 71-78.
  • Onabe, M. B., Ikutal, A., Edet, A. E., & Ubi, G. M. (2019). Strategies for mitigating climate change effect on honey bee productivity in Southern Nigeria. Annual Research & Review in Biology, 33(3), 1-9. https://doi.org/doi.org/10.9734/arrb/2019/v33i330123
  • Öztürk, K. (2002). Küresel iklim değişikliği ve Türkiyeye olası etkileri. Gazi Üniversitesi Gazi Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, 22(1), 47-65. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gefad/issue/6766/91033
  • Rader, R., Reilly, J., Bartomeus, I., & Winfree, R. (2013). Native bees buffer the negative impact of climate warming on honey bee pollination of watermelon crops. Global Change Biology, 19(10), 3103-3110. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12264
  • Ravagnolo, O., Misztal, I., & Hoogenboom, G. (2000). Genetic component of heat stress in dairy cattle, development of heat index function. Journal of Dairy Science, 83(9), 2120-2125. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(00)75094-6
  • Ray, D. K., Mueller, N. D., West, P. C., & Foley, J. A. (2013). Yield trends are insufficient to double global crop production by 2050. PLOS ONE, 8(6), e66428. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0066428
  • Sugiura, T., Sumida, H., Yokoyama, S., & Ono, H. (2012). Overview of recent effects of global warming on agricultural production in Japan. Japan Agricultural Research Quarterly: JARQ, 46(1), 7-13. https://doi.org/10.6090/jarq.46.7
  • Tilman, D., Balzer, C., Hill, J., & Befort, B. L. (2011). Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture. Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, 108(50), 20260-20264. https://doi.org/doi:10.1073/pnas.1116437108
  • Varol, N., & Ayaz, M. (2012). Küresel iklim değişikliği ve zeytincilik. Türk Bilimsel Derlemeler Dergisi (1), 11-13. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/derleme/issue/35085/389116.

EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON MILK AND HONEY PRODUCTION IN ARDAHAN PROVINCE

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 36 Sayı: 3, 1230 - 1239, 30.09.2022

Özlem Eştürk

https://doi.org/10.48070/erciyesakademi.1137902

Öz

Changes in the global climate are among the factors threatening the stability of the global food supply. Precipitation and temperature are important components of the agricultural sector directly affecting the production. However, factors such as temperature increases, drought and sudden weather events due to natural disasters increase the concerns in the agricultural sector. Climate is one of the most determining factors in agricultural production and productivity. Preventing the negative effects of climate change on agricultural production, increasing the adaptation of agricultural production to climate change and ensuring sustainable food security should be among the priorities of the governments. In this study, it is aimed to reveal the effects of global climate change on the agricultural sector in Ardahan province for the time period of 1995-2020. For this purpose, the relationship between milk and honey production, important in Ardahan economy, with average temperature and total precipitation was examined by linear regression analysis. According to the findings, while annual total precipitation decreased milk and honey production, average temperatures did not have a significant effect on milk and honey production.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Climate change Climate change Agriculture production Milk Honey Climate change, Agriculture production, Milk, Honey

Kaynakça

  • Abou-Shaara, H. (2016). Expectations about the potential impacts of climate change on honey bee colonies in Egypt. Journal of Apiculture, 31(2), 157-164. https://doi.org/10.17519/apiculture.2016.06.31.2.157
  • Asseng, S., Ewert, F., & Zhu, Y. (2015). Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 143-147. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2470
  • Bruinsma, J. (2017). World agriculture: towards 2015/2030: an FAO perspective. Earthscan Publications Ltd.
  • Chakraborty, S., Tiedemann, A. V., & Teng, P. S. (2000). Climate change: potential impact on plant diseases. Environmental Pollution, 108(3), 317-326. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0269- 7491(99)00210-9.
  • Christiaensen, L. J., Demery, L. & Khl, J. (2006). The role of agriculture in poverty reduction: An empirical perspective. World Bank Publications Working Paper 4013.
  • Ciscar, J.-C., Iglesias, A., Perry, M., & van Regemorter, D. (2012). Agriculture, climate change and the global economy. Working Paper Version15. Institute For Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS),Edificio Expo, Spain.
  • Clark, A. J., Nottage, R. A. C., & Cowie, B. (2012). Impacts of climate change on land-based sectors and adaptation options. Clark, A.J.; Nottage, R.A.C. (eds). Technical Report to the Sustainable Land Management and Climate Change Adaptation Technical Working Group, Ministry for Primary Industries, 408 p.
  • Cline, W. R. (2007). Global warming and agriculture: Impact estimates by country. Center For Global Development And Peterson Institute For International Economics. Washington, DC.
  • Dellal, İ., McCarl, B. A., & Butt, T. (2011). The economic assessment of climate change on Turkish agriculture. Journal of Environmental Protection and Ecology, 12(1), 376-385.
  • Duru, S. & Parlakay, O. (2021). Türkiye’de iklim değişikliğinin bal verimine etkisi: ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı. Mustafa Kemal Üniversitesi Tarım Bilimleri Dergisi, 26(3), 791-800. https://doi.org/10.37908/mkutbd.1000097
  • Fischer, G. & van Velthuizen, H. T. (1996). Climate change and global agricultural potential project: A case study of Kenya. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 96.
  • Fodor, N., Foskolos, A., & Foyer, C. H. (2018). Spatially explicit estimation of heat stress-related impacts of climate change on the milk production of dairy cows in the United Kingdom. PLOS ONE, 13(5), e0197076. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0197076
  • Godfray, H. C., Beddington, J. R., & Toulmin, C. (2010). Food security: the challenge of feeding 9 billion people. Science, 327(5967), 812-818. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1185383
  • Jones, P. G., & Thornton, P. K. (2003). The potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055. Global Environmental Change, 13(1), 51-59. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00090-0
  • Kanber, R., Kapur, B., & Koç, D. L. (2007). İklim değişiminin tarımsal üretim sistemleri üzerine etkisinin değerlendirilmesine yönelik yeni bir yaklaşım: ICCAP projesi. TMMOB 2. Su Politikaları Kongresi, (ss. 83-94). İstanbul.
  • Kapluhan, E. (2013). Türkiye’de kuraklik ve kurakliğin tarima etkisi. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi, (27), 487-510.
  • Klinedinst, P. L., Wilhite, D. A., Hahn, G. L., & Hubbard, K. G. (1993). The potential effects of climate change on summer season dairy cattle milk production and reproduction. Climatic Change, 23(1), 21-36. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01092679
  • Kumar, P. S. (2012). Impact of climate change and adaptation measures in dairy sector of Sikkim. İçinde M. L. Arrawatia & S. Tambe (Eds.), Climate change in sikkim patterns, impacts and initiatives (pp. 219-232). Information and Public Relations Department, Gangtok.
  • Mader, T. L., Frank, K. L., & Nienaber, J. A. (2009). Potential climate change effects on warm-season livestock production in the Great Plains. Climatic Change, 97(3), 529-541. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9615-1
  • Mauger, G., Bauman, Y., Nennich, T., & Salathé, E. (2015). Impacts of climate change on milk production in the United States. The Professional Geographer, 67(1), 121-131. https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2014.921017
  • Ninan, K. N., & Satyasiba, B. (2012). Climate change, agriculture, poverty and livelihoods: a status report. https://ideas.repec.org/p/sch/wpaper/277.html
  • Nyunza, G. (2018). Anthropogenic and climatic factors affecting honey production: The case of selected villages in Manyoni District, Tanzania. Journal of Agricultural Biotechnology and Sustainable Development, 10, 45-57. https://doi.org/10.5897/JABSD2017.0292
  • Ochieng, J., Kirimi, L., & Mathenge, M. (2016). Effects of climate variability and change on agricultural production: The case of small scale farmers in Kenya. NJAS-Wageningen Journal of Life Sciences, 77, 71-78.
  • Onabe, M. B., Ikutal, A., Edet, A. E., & Ubi, G. M. (2019). Strategies for mitigating climate change effect on honey bee productivity in Southern Nigeria. Annual Research & Review in Biology, 33(3), 1-9. https://doi.org/doi.org/10.9734/arrb/2019/v33i330123
  • Öztürk, K. (2002). Küresel iklim değişikliği ve Türkiyeye olası etkileri. Gazi Üniversitesi Gazi Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, 22(1), 47-65. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/gefad/issue/6766/91033
  • Rader, R., Reilly, J., Bartomeus, I., & Winfree, R. (2013). Native bees buffer the negative impact of climate warming on honey bee pollination of watermelon crops. Global Change Biology, 19(10), 3103-3110. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12264
  • Ravagnolo, O., Misztal, I., & Hoogenboom, G. (2000). Genetic component of heat stress in dairy cattle, development of heat index function. Journal of Dairy Science, 83(9), 2120-2125. https://doi.org/10.3168/jds.S0022-0302(00)75094-6
  • Ray, D. K., Mueller, N. D., West, P. C., & Foley, J. A. (2013). Yield trends are insufficient to double global crop production by 2050. PLOS ONE, 8(6), e66428. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0066428
  • Sugiura, T., Sumida, H., Yokoyama, S., & Ono, H. (2012). Overview of recent effects of global warming on agricultural production in Japan. Japan Agricultural Research Quarterly: JARQ, 46(1), 7-13. https://doi.org/10.6090/jarq.46.7
  • Tilman, D., Balzer, C., Hill, J., & Befort, B. L. (2011). Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture. Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, 108(50), 20260-20264. https://doi.org/doi:10.1073/pnas.1116437108
  • Varol, N., & Ayaz, M. (2012). Küresel iklim değişikliği ve zeytincilik. Türk Bilimsel Derlemeler Dergisi (1), 11-13. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/derleme/issue/35085/389116.
Toplam 31 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Özlem Eştürk 0000-0003-4324-0912

Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Eylül 2022
Gönderilme Tarihi 29 Haziran 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 36 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Eştürk, Ö. (2022). İKLİM DEĞİŞİKLİĞİNİN ARDAHAN İLİNDE SÜT VE BAL ÜRETİMİ ÜZERİNE ETKİLERİ. Erciyes Akademi, 36(3), 1230-1239. https://doi.org/10.48070/erciyesakademi.1137902
 Kapak Resmi İndir

ERCİYES AKADEMİ | 2021 | erciyesakademi@erciyes.edu.tr Bu eser Creative Commons Atıf-Gayri Ticari-Türetilemez 4.0 Uluslararası Lisansı ile lisanslanmıştır.