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Küçükbaş Hayvan Yetiştiricilerinin İklim Değişikliği Algısı ve Adaptasyonu Etkileyen Faktörler Üzerine Bir Analiz: Karaman İli Örneği

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 1, 686 - 698, 01.03.2021
https://doi.org/10.21597/jist.778408

Öz

Tarımsal üretim büyük oranda iklime dayanmaktadır ve iklim son zamanlarda sürekli değişmektedir. Bu çalışma, küçükbaş hayvan yetiştiricilerinin iklim değişikliği algılarını, adaptasyon stratejilerini ve adaptasyonun önündeki engelleri belirlemek için yapılmıştır. İklim değişikliğini görebilmek için Karaman Meteoroloji Müdürlüğünden alınan 1970’den 2020 yılına kadar olan meteorolojik veriler kullanılmıştır. Birincil veriler Damızlık Koyun ve Keçi Yetiştiricileri birliği üyelerinden anket yoluyla elde edilmiştir. Örneklem büyüklüğü 118’dir. Verilerin analizinde ikili lojistik regresyon methodu kullanılmıştır. Modelde bağımlı değişken adaptasyon durumu olup, 12 bağımsız değişken belirlenmiştir. Regresyon analizi sonuçlarına göre, yaş, deneyim, yeniliklere karşı tutum, iklim değişikliğine inanıp inanmama durumu ve ekstrem hava olaylarına tanık olma istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bulunmuştur (P<0.05). Cinsiyet, eğitim durumu, hayvan sayısı, çiftlik büyüklüğü, diğer gelir, tarımsal gelir ve toplam gelir ise istatistiksel olarak anlamsız bulunmuştur. Kesif yem kullanımı, yem bitkileri üretimi, tarımsal üretimde çeşitlilik ile hastalık ve kuraklığa dayanıklı ırkların tercih edilmesi başlıca adaptasyon seçenekleri olarak tespit edilmiştir. Bilgi yetersizliği, iklim değişikliğine adaptasyonun önündeki en önemli bariyer olarak görülmüştür. İklim değişikliğinin etkilerini anlatacak ve gelecek projeksiyonları içeren eğitim programları organize edilmelidir. Devlet desteklerinin bölgesel iklim koşullarına göre yeniden organizasyonu adaptasyonu kolaylaştıracaktır. Türkiye’de konu ile ilgili detaylı araştırmalara gereksinim vardır. Tarımsal üretimin tüm alt kategorileri ayrı ayrı ele alınmalıdır.

Kaynakça

  • Akalın M. 2014. The climate change impacts on agriculture: adaptation and mitigation strategies for these impacts. Hitit University Journal of Social Sciences Institute, 7(2):351-377.
  • Asare-Nuamah, P., & Botchway, E. (2019). Comparing smallholder farmers' climate change perception with climate data: the case of Adansi North District of Ghana. Heliyon, 5 (12):1-12.
  • Asrat P, Simane S. 2017. Adaptation benefits of climate-smart agricultural practices in the Blue Nile Basin: empirical evidence from North-West Ethiopia. In: Filho WL, Belay S, Kalangu J, Menas W, Munishi P, Musiyiwa K (eds) Climate change adaptation in Africa: fostering African resilience and capacity to adapt. Vol. 1. Springer International Publishing AG, Cham, Switzerland
  • Asrat P, Simane B. 2018. Farmers’ perception of climate change and adaptation strategies in the Dabus watershed, North-West Ethiopia. Ecol Process 7(7), 1-23.
  • Atsiaya GO, Ayuya, OI, Nakhone LW, 2019. Drivers and responses to climate variability by agro-pastoralists in Kenya: the case of Laikipia County. SN Applied Sciences, 1(8):827.
  • Bozoglu M, Başer U, Alhas Eroglu N, Kılıc Topuz B, 2019. Impacts of climate change on turkish agriculture . Journal of International Environmental Application and Science , 14 (3) , 97-103
  • Çaltı N, Somuncu M, 2018. Perception and adaptation levels of farmers about the impact of climate change on agriculture in the Polatlı district of Ankara province. International Geography Symposium on the 30th Anniversary of TUCAUM 3-6 October 2018, Ankara
  • Demirbük M, Kızılaslan N, 2020. Analysis of relationships between breeders’ associations and their, A case study of Sivas. KSU Journal Of Agriculture and Nature. 23(1):194-211.
  • Deressa T, Hassan R, Ringler C, 2011. Perception of and adaptation to climate change by farmers in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. The Journal of Agricultural Science, 149(1):23-31.
  • Esiobu NS, Onubuogu GC, 2014. Trends, Perceptions and adaptation options of livestock farmers to climate change in Imo State, Nigeria: A Multinomial Logit Model Approach. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(19):21-36.
  • Fadina AMR, Barjolle D, 2018. Farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate change and their implications in the Zou Department of South Benin. Environments, 5, 15.
  • FAO 2015. Climate change and food systems: global assessments and implications for food security and trade. Food Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).
  • FAO 2017. Climate-smart Livestock Production. Retrieved in April, 12, 2011 from http://www.fao.org/climate-smart-agriculture-sourcebook/production-resources/module-b2-livestock/b2-overview/en/?type=111
  • FAO 2018. The impact of disasters and crises on agriculture and food security 2017, http://www.fao.org/3/I8656EN/i8656en.pdf. (Date of access: 8 September 2020).
  • FAO 2019. Agriculture and climate change – Challenges and opportunities at the global and local Level – Collaboration on Climate-Smart Agriculture. Rome. 52 pp. Licence: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.
  • Kim CS, & Jung, HK, Lee, SH, Park, SY, Takei A, 2012. "An analysis on determinants of farmers´ adaptation to climate change in Korea," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, 35(2):1-20.
  • Kinuthia KJ, Inoti SK, Nakhone L. 2018. Factors influencing farmer’sc of crop production response strategies to climate change and variability in Narok East Sub-county, Kenya. Journal of Natural Resources and Development, (8):69–77.
  • Mase AS, Gramig BM, Prokopy LS, 2017. Climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, and adaptation behavior among Midwestern U.S. crop farmers. Climate Risk Management, (15):8-17
  • Mbakwe I, Judith O, Obaji N, 2016. A study of socio-economic characteristics of farmers to determined their perceptions on climatic variables and adaptation options in Imo State, Nigeria. African Journal of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, 4(2):287-300.
  • MEU 2012. Turkey’s National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan. Retrieved in April, 15, 2020 from http://www.dsi.gov.tr/docs/iklim-degisikligi/turkeys-national-climate-change-adaptation-strategy-and-action-plan.pdf?sfvrsn=2
  • Mitter H, Larcher M, Schönhart M, Stöttinger M, Schmid E, 2019. Exploring farmers’ climate change perceptions and adaptation intentions: empirical evidence from Austria. Environmental Management, (63):804–821.
  • Polat K, Dellal İ, 2016. Climate change perception of rice producers and determination of effective factors in making good agrıcultural practices. The Journal of Agricultural Economics Researches (JAER), 2(2):46-54.
  • Soylu S, Sade B, 2012. A Research Project on the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Products. Retrieved in March, 3, 2020 from http://www.konyadayatirim.gov.tr/images/dosya/%C4%B0klim%20De%C4%9Fi%C5%9Fikli%C4%9Finin%20Tar%C4%B1msal%20%C3%9Cr%C3%BCnlere%20Etkisi%20%C3%9Czerine%20Bir%20Ara%C5%9Ft%C4%B1rma.pdf
  • Turan E. 2018. Turkey’s drought status associated with climate change. Journal of Natural Hazards and Environment, 4(1):63-69
  • WMO 2020. WMO Statement on the state of the global climate in 2019. No:1248
  • Woods B, Nielsen HØ, Pedersen AB, Kristofersson DM, 2017. Farmers' Perceptions of climate change and their likely responses in Danish Agriculture. Land Use Policy, 65:109-120.
  • Yadav SS. Hegde VS. Habibi AB. Dia M, Verma S. 2019. Climate change, agriculture and food security. In Food Security and Climate Change; Yadav, S.S., Redden, R.J., Hatfield, J.L., Ebert, A.W., Hunter, D., Eds.; John Wiley & Sons Ltd: Hoboken, NJ, USA, (Book Chapter) pp 1-24
  • Yamane, T., 2006. Basic Sampling Methods. Nobel Press, 509 p, Ankara.
  • Yıldırım M, Everest B, 2020. Renewable energy awareness of agricultural cooperatives: the case of Çanakkale Province. COMU J. Agric. Fac. 8(1): 233-241
  • Zizinga A, Kangalawe R, Ainslie A, Tenywa M, Majaliwa J, Saronga N, Amoako E, 2017. Analysis of farmer’s choices for climate change adaptation practices in South-Western Uganda, 1980–2009. Climate, 5(4):89.

An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 1, 686 - 698, 01.03.2021
https://doi.org/10.21597/jist.778408

Öz

Agricultural production relies heavily on the climate, which has been changing constantly in recent years. This study conducted in order to determine small ruminant breeders' perception of climate change, their adaptation strategies and barriers to adaptation. The meteorological data obtained from Karaman Provincial Directorate of Meteorology between 1970-2019 were used to notice the changes in climate. Primary data was obtained through a survey with the members of Sheep and Goat Breeders Union. The sample size, according to the random sampling method, composed 118 breeders the data was analyzed by binary logistic regression method. The dependent variable in the model is adaptation status and 12 independent variables were determined. According to the results of logistic regression analysis, age, experience, attitude towards innovations, believing or not believing in climate change and witnessing extreme weather events in the region were found statistically significant. While the others, gender, educational background, number of animals, farm size, other income, agricultural income and total income, were found statistically insignificant (P<0.05). The usage of concentrate feed, forage crop production, diversity in agricultural production and breeding more resistant species against diseases and droughts were identified as major adaptation practices. Lack of information was found the most important barrier to adapt to climate change. The training activities should be organized for regular notifications concerning the impacts of climate change on agricultural production and future projection. Restructuring government aids in consideration of regional climate conditions shall facilitate the adaptation of breeders. The detailed studies are needed in Turkey. All sub-components of agricultural production should be discussed separately.

Kaynakça

  • Akalın M. 2014. The climate change impacts on agriculture: adaptation and mitigation strategies for these impacts. Hitit University Journal of Social Sciences Institute, 7(2):351-377.
  • Asare-Nuamah, P., & Botchway, E. (2019). Comparing smallholder farmers' climate change perception with climate data: the case of Adansi North District of Ghana. Heliyon, 5 (12):1-12.
  • Asrat P, Simane S. 2017. Adaptation benefits of climate-smart agricultural practices in the Blue Nile Basin: empirical evidence from North-West Ethiopia. In: Filho WL, Belay S, Kalangu J, Menas W, Munishi P, Musiyiwa K (eds) Climate change adaptation in Africa: fostering African resilience and capacity to adapt. Vol. 1. Springer International Publishing AG, Cham, Switzerland
  • Asrat P, Simane B. 2018. Farmers’ perception of climate change and adaptation strategies in the Dabus watershed, North-West Ethiopia. Ecol Process 7(7), 1-23.
  • Atsiaya GO, Ayuya, OI, Nakhone LW, 2019. Drivers and responses to climate variability by agro-pastoralists in Kenya: the case of Laikipia County. SN Applied Sciences, 1(8):827.
  • Bozoglu M, Başer U, Alhas Eroglu N, Kılıc Topuz B, 2019. Impacts of climate change on turkish agriculture . Journal of International Environmental Application and Science , 14 (3) , 97-103
  • Çaltı N, Somuncu M, 2018. Perception and adaptation levels of farmers about the impact of climate change on agriculture in the Polatlı district of Ankara province. International Geography Symposium on the 30th Anniversary of TUCAUM 3-6 October 2018, Ankara
  • Demirbük M, Kızılaslan N, 2020. Analysis of relationships between breeders’ associations and their, A case study of Sivas. KSU Journal Of Agriculture and Nature. 23(1):194-211.
  • Deressa T, Hassan R, Ringler C, 2011. Perception of and adaptation to climate change by farmers in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. The Journal of Agricultural Science, 149(1):23-31.
  • Esiobu NS, Onubuogu GC, 2014. Trends, Perceptions and adaptation options of livestock farmers to climate change in Imo State, Nigeria: A Multinomial Logit Model Approach. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(19):21-36.
  • Fadina AMR, Barjolle D, 2018. Farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate change and their implications in the Zou Department of South Benin. Environments, 5, 15.
  • FAO 2015. Climate change and food systems: global assessments and implications for food security and trade. Food Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).
  • FAO 2017. Climate-smart Livestock Production. Retrieved in April, 12, 2011 from http://www.fao.org/climate-smart-agriculture-sourcebook/production-resources/module-b2-livestock/b2-overview/en/?type=111
  • FAO 2018. The impact of disasters and crises on agriculture and food security 2017, http://www.fao.org/3/I8656EN/i8656en.pdf. (Date of access: 8 September 2020).
  • FAO 2019. Agriculture and climate change – Challenges and opportunities at the global and local Level – Collaboration on Climate-Smart Agriculture. Rome. 52 pp. Licence: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO.
  • Kim CS, & Jung, HK, Lee, SH, Park, SY, Takei A, 2012. "An analysis on determinants of farmers´ adaptation to climate change in Korea," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, 35(2):1-20.
  • Kinuthia KJ, Inoti SK, Nakhone L. 2018. Factors influencing farmer’sc of crop production response strategies to climate change and variability in Narok East Sub-county, Kenya. Journal of Natural Resources and Development, (8):69–77.
  • Mase AS, Gramig BM, Prokopy LS, 2017. Climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, and adaptation behavior among Midwestern U.S. crop farmers. Climate Risk Management, (15):8-17
  • Mbakwe I, Judith O, Obaji N, 2016. A study of socio-economic characteristics of farmers to determined their perceptions on climatic variables and adaptation options in Imo State, Nigeria. African Journal of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, 4(2):287-300.
  • MEU 2012. Turkey’s National Climate Change Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan. Retrieved in April, 15, 2020 from http://www.dsi.gov.tr/docs/iklim-degisikligi/turkeys-national-climate-change-adaptation-strategy-and-action-plan.pdf?sfvrsn=2
  • Mitter H, Larcher M, Schönhart M, Stöttinger M, Schmid E, 2019. Exploring farmers’ climate change perceptions and adaptation intentions: empirical evidence from Austria. Environmental Management, (63):804–821.
  • Polat K, Dellal İ, 2016. Climate change perception of rice producers and determination of effective factors in making good agrıcultural practices. The Journal of Agricultural Economics Researches (JAER), 2(2):46-54.
  • Soylu S, Sade B, 2012. A Research Project on the Effects of Climate Change on Agricultural Products. Retrieved in March, 3, 2020 from http://www.konyadayatirim.gov.tr/images/dosya/%C4%B0klim%20De%C4%9Fi%C5%9Fikli%C4%9Finin%20Tar%C4%B1msal%20%C3%9Cr%C3%BCnlere%20Etkisi%20%C3%9Czerine%20Bir%20Ara%C5%9Ft%C4%B1rma.pdf
  • Turan E. 2018. Turkey’s drought status associated with climate change. Journal of Natural Hazards and Environment, 4(1):63-69
  • WMO 2020. WMO Statement on the state of the global climate in 2019. No:1248
  • Woods B, Nielsen HØ, Pedersen AB, Kristofersson DM, 2017. Farmers' Perceptions of climate change and their likely responses in Danish Agriculture. Land Use Policy, 65:109-120.
  • Yadav SS. Hegde VS. Habibi AB. Dia M, Verma S. 2019. Climate change, agriculture and food security. In Food Security and Climate Change; Yadav, S.S., Redden, R.J., Hatfield, J.L., Ebert, A.W., Hunter, D., Eds.; John Wiley & Sons Ltd: Hoboken, NJ, USA, (Book Chapter) pp 1-24
  • Yamane, T., 2006. Basic Sampling Methods. Nobel Press, 509 p, Ankara.
  • Yıldırım M, Everest B, 2020. Renewable energy awareness of agricultural cooperatives: the case of Çanakkale Province. COMU J. Agric. Fac. 8(1): 233-241
  • Zizinga A, Kangalawe R, Ainslie A, Tenywa M, Majaliwa J, Saronga N, Amoako E, 2017. Analysis of farmer’s choices for climate change adaptation practices in South-Western Uganda, 1980–2009. Climate, 5(4):89.
Toplam 30 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Tarım Politikaları
Bölüm Tarım Ekonomisi / Agricultural Economy
Yazarlar

Murat Demirbük 0000-0001-5535-1949

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Mart 2021
Gönderilme Tarihi 9 Ağustos 2020
Kabul Tarihi 24 Eylül 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 11 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Demirbük, M. (2021). An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province. Journal of the Institute of Science and Technology, 11(1), 686-698. https://doi.org/10.21597/jist.778408
AMA Demirbük M. An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province. Iğdır Üniv. Fen Bil Enst. Der. Mart 2021;11(1):686-698. doi:10.21597/jist.778408
Chicago Demirbük, Murat. “An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province”. Journal of the Institute of Science and Technology 11, sy. 1 (Mart 2021): 686-98. https://doi.org/10.21597/jist.778408.
EndNote Demirbük M (01 Mart 2021) An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province. Journal of the Institute of Science and Technology 11 1 686–698.
IEEE M. Demirbük, “An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province”, Iğdır Üniv. Fen Bil Enst. Der., c. 11, sy. 1, ss. 686–698, 2021, doi: 10.21597/jist.778408.
ISNAD Demirbük, Murat. “An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province”. Journal of the Institute of Science and Technology 11/1 (Mart 2021), 686-698. https://doi.org/10.21597/jist.778408.
JAMA Demirbük M. An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province. Iğdır Üniv. Fen Bil Enst. Der. 2021;11:686–698.
MLA Demirbük, Murat. “An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province”. Journal of the Institute of Science and Technology, c. 11, sy. 1, 2021, ss. 686-98, doi:10.21597/jist.778408.
Vancouver Demirbük M. An Analysis on the Perception of Small Ruminant Breeders to Climate Change and The Factors Affecting Adaptation: A Case Study of Karaman Province. Iğdır Üniv. Fen Bil Enst. Der. 2021;11(1):686-98.