The Impact of Climate Change and Environmental Degradation on Agricultural Credit Usage: Evidence from Türkiye with Fourier Approximations

Onur Şeyranlıoğlu; Ayşegül Han; Gökçen Aydınbaş

doi:10.18016/ksutarimdoga.vi.1652184

TR EN

İklim Değişikliği ve Çevresel Bozulmanın Tarımsal Kredi Kullanımına Etkisi: Fourier Yaklaşımlar ile Türkiye’den Kanıtlar

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de 1988-2023 dönemine ait yıllık veriler kullanılarak iklim değişikliği ve çevresel bozulmanın tarımsal kredi kullanımına etkisini incelemektir. Araştırmada, değişkenlerin durağanlık özellikleri Fourier KPSS durağanlık testi ile belirlenmiş, uzun dönem ilişkiler Fourier Shin eşbütünleşme yöntemi ile analiz edilmiş ve uzun dönem katsayı tahminleri ise Fourier FMOLS yöntemiyle yapılmıştır. Son olarak, değişkenler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkileri keşfetmek için Fourier Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Bulgular, iklim değişikliği ve çevresel bozulmadaki artışların tarımsal kredi kullanımını azalttığını göstermektedir. Öte yandan, tarımsal katma değer, ekilebilir tarımsal alan ve nüfus artışının tarımsal kredi kullanımını artırdığı bulunmuştur. Nedensellik analizi sonuçlarına göre, tarımsal kredi kullanımından iklim değişikliğine doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisi bulunurken, tarımsal kredi kullanımı ile tarımsal katma değer ve nüfus artışı arasında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkileri tespit edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlar, tarım sektörüne yönelik finansal politikaların çevresel ve iklimsel riskler göz önünde bulundurularak yeniden yapılandırılmasının önemini vurgulamakta ve bu etkileşimi Fourier tabanlı ekonometrik analizlerle ele alarak çok sınırlı olan literatüre önemli bir katkı sağlanmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

The Impact of Climate Change and Environmental Degradation on Agricultural Credit Usage: Evidence from Türkiye with Fourier Approximations

Abstract

This study aims to examine the impact of climate change and environmental degradation on agricultural credit utilization using annual data for the period 1988-2023 in Türkiye. In this paper, stationarity is tested using the Fourier KPSS stationarity test, long-run relationships are analyzed using the Fourier Shin cointegration method, and long-run coefficients are estimated using the Fourier FMOLS method. Finally, the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality test is used to explore causal relationships between variables. The findings show that increases in climate change and environmental degradation reduce agricultural credit utilization. On the other hand, agricultural value added, arable agricultural area, and population growth are found to increase agricultural credit utilization. According to the causality analysis results, a unidirectional causality relationship was found from agricultural credit utilization to climate change, while bidirectional causality relationships were found between agricultural credit utilization and agricultural value added and population growth. The results obtained emphasize the importance of restructuring financial policies for the agricultural sector in consideration of environmental and climatic risks and provide an important contribution to the very limited literature by addressing this interaction with Fourier-based econometric analyses.

Keywords

References

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Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

Sustainable Agricultural Development , Agricultural Policy , Agricultural Economics (Other)

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Onur Şeyranlıoğlu ^*
0000-0002-1105-4034
Türkiye

Ayşegül Han
0000-0002-3390-2129
Türkiye

Gökçen Aydınbaş
0000-0001-9435-5387
Türkiye

Early Pub Date

August 14, 2025

Publication Date

October 20, 2025

Submission Date

March 7, 2025

Acceptance Date

July 31, 2025

Published in Issue

Year 2025 Volume: 28 Number: 6

DOI

https://doi.org/10.18016/ksutarimdoga.vi.1652184

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA57FJ53AX

Cite

RIS / Bibtex

APA

Şeyranlıoğlu, O., Han, A., & Aydınbaş, G. (2025). The Impact of Climate Change and Environmental Degradation on Agricultural Credit Usage: Evidence from Türkiye with Fourier Approximations. Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Tarım Ve Doğa Dergisi, 28(6), 1516-1530. https://doi.org/10.18016/ksutarimdoga.vi.1652184

Cited By

Green Finance and Agricultural Sustainability: A Panel Data Analysis of Climate-Resilient Investment in Emerging Economies

Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Tarım ve Doğa Dergisi

https://doi.org/10.18016/ksutarimdoga.vi.1727648