Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Tarım ve Doğa Dergisi

Öz

The agriculture sector has a history as old as human history. The necessity of eating and drinking activities for the continuation of life gives this sector strategic importance. Climate change is a situation that affects the whole world, especially the negativities caused by greenhouse gas emissions as a result of the industrial revolution. Although the share of agricultural production in the economy decreased with the industrial revolution, the recent COVID-19 pandemic period has once again shown that agricultural production and supply are too important to be ignored. This importance of agricultural production has also raised the question of how much and how climate changes affect agricultural production. The fact that the negative effects of climate change indicators will not disappear immediately makes it important to identify both problems and solutions. The aim of the study is to reveal how and in what direction the amount of Türkiye’s agricultural production is affected by the variables accepted as indicators of climate change. For this purpose, Variance Decomposition, Impulse-Response Function, and Toda-Yamamoto Causality Analysis were performed after unit root tests. According to the results obtained, there is a causality relationship between agricultural production and greenhouse gas emissions in Türkiye, while there is a causality relationship between drought, change in average temperatures, and change in precipitation variables and greenhouse gas emissions variables. In light of the finding that greenhouse gas emissions are directly and indirectly the cause of climate change in Türkiye, studies to control greenhouse gas emissions should be urgently implemented.